When to duck
                    
	
		A defender who can anticipate how the declarer is going to play a hand is a dangerous defender indeed. Accurate anticipation is in part a product of experience and intuition, but there are certain situations that can easily be learnt. For example if declarer has a repeatable finessing position and he takes a winning finesse, he is sure to want to repeat the finesse. Look at the ♦s on this week’s deal.
	
	
		
			
				
					South  Deals 
					None Vul | 
				
					
						
							
								| 
									♠ | 
								
									A 8 6 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♥ | 
								
									7 5 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♦ | 
								
									A Q J 4 2 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♣ | 
								
									J 6 5 | 
							 
						
					 
				 | 
			
			
				
					
						
							
								| 
									♠ | 
								
									J 9 4 2 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♥ | 
								
									J 10 9 8 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♦ | 
								
									9 7 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♣ | 
								
									A 9 4 | 
							 
						
					 
				 | 
				
					
				 | 
				
					
						
							
								| 
									♠ | 
								
									10 7 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♥ | 
								
									6 4 3 2 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♦ | 
								
									K 10 8 3 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♣ | 
								
									K 10 3 | 
							 
						
					 
				 | 
			
			
				| 
					  | 
				
					
						
							
								| 
									♠ | 
								
									K Q 5 3 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♥ | 
								
									A K Q | 
							 
							
								| 
									♦ | 
								
									6 5 | 
							 
							
								| 
									♣ | 
								
									Q 8 7 2 | 
							 
						
					 
				 | 
			
		
	
	
	
		
			
		
		
			
				| 
					East | 
				
					South | 
				
					West | 
				
					North | 
			
			
				| 
					  | 
				
					1 ♠ | 
				
					Pass | 
				
					2 ♦ | 
			
			
				| 
					Pass | 
				
					2 NT | 
				
					Pass | 
				
					3 ♠ | 
			
			
				| 
					Pass | 
				
					3 NT | 
				
					Pass | 
				
					Pass | 
			
			
				| 
					Pass | 
			
		
	
	Declarer won West’s ♥ J lead with ♥ Q and led ♦ 5 to dummy’s ♦ J. Say East wins ♦ K - and returns ♥ 3. Declarer wins ♥ K, plays to dummy’s ♦ Q, cashes ♦ A, and concedes ♦ 2 to East’s ♦ 10. East plays ♥ 6 to declarer’s ♥ A and declarer crosses to ♠ A, cashes ♦ 4, then returns to ♠ KQ. Nine tricks.
	But, anticipating that declarer would repeat the ♦ finesse, East (smoothly) ducked ♦ J at trick two. Declarer crossed back to his ♠ Q and led ♦ 6 to ♦ Q. This time East won ♦ K – and led ♥ 3. Declarer won ♥ K, crossed to ♠ A, and cashed ♦ A hoping for an even split. West discarded a ♣ so dummy’s ♦s were dead (for the lack of an entry to return to them after conceding the fourth round). Declarer was left hoping that the missing ♠s were split 3-3. He cashed ♠ K then ♠ Q but, when East discarded a ♣ on ♠ Q, was unable to make any more tricks apart from ♥ A. He was one down.
	ANDREW’S TIP: As a defender, duck when declarer takes a repeatable finesse.